Recently the popular creation skeptic Randal Rauser, who goes by the Youtube moniker of “The Tentative Apologist,” posted a video titled, “Why Young Earth Creationism is Irrational and Harmful.” In it, he laid out his case for why evangelicals should not embrace young earth creation as well as a general methodology for laymen wherein they conform to the expert opinion—specifically the expert majority opinion. While I do believe he is good-hearted and well meaning, the video exemplified the innate depravity of the modern “scientismist” view. He covered the bases so well and so thoroughly that I thought it apt to do an in-depth exegesis and logical analysis of the claims he made. My hope is that this case study can be instructive on how to critically think, this is not meant to be a dunk on Rauser.
Argument #1: Social Contingency
He begins his criticism of the young earth creationist movement by citing the book “The Creationists” by Ronald Numbers. Dr. Numbers is a historian of science who was the son of a fundamentalist Seventh-day Adventist preacher and later left becoming a self-proclaimed agnostic. Numbers’ thesis is that the modern movement of creationism began as an Adventist movement. Rauser notes:
“The modern creationist movement actually comes from Seventh Day Adventism and particularly young earth creationist George McCready Price… As a result, young earth creationism became the mainstream view held by the emerging fundamentalist movement of the 1920-30s which was a reaction to the growth and perceived compromise of mainstream denominations and university-based divinity schools.”
The real beginnings of modern creationism started not by an Adventist in the 20s but by Baptists in the 60s. Although Rauser acknowledges this, he points out that “The Genesis Flood” by Morris and Whitcomb was heavily influenced by Price’s work several decades earlier. While it is true that Price played a large role in the model put forth in the 60s, it is important to note that Price, Morris, and Whitcomb were not writing in a vacuum.
Who was Price influenced by? And if we are to say (rightly) not by Adventists, then you cannot simply argue that modern young earth creationism is an adventist movement.
Price was citing Anglicans, Presbyterians, Congregationalists, Baptists, and Reformed geologists. To name a few non-adventist geologists: Thomas Burnet (Telluris Theoria Sacra, 1681), John Woodward (An Essay Toward a Natural History of the Earth, 1695), William Whiston, Granville Penn, George Fairholme, Sharon Turner, George Young, George Bugg, John Murray, David Lord, and Tayler Lewis.
Seventh-Day Adventism wasn’t alone in holding to young earth creationism at that time, either. Many traditional Christian denominations—including Anglicans, Lutherans, and Eastern Orthodox all held semi-official doctrines or official dogmas on the young age of the earth. Figures like the Anglican Bishop James Ussher, Lutheran doctrines and dogmas such as the Westminster Standards (1643–1649) and the 1967 resolution of the LCMS affirmed the six day creation and young earth, and the Orthodox Anno Mundi calendar (held as the official calendar in most Eastern traditions) dates creation to approximately 5508 BC. Some modern Orthodox theologians argue that a literal reading of Genesis 1–2 remains the historic teaching of the church up until the 19th century.
While it is true, Price definitely filtered the former creationist flood models and understandings through his adventist interpretive framework, yet Morris and Whitcomb filtered Price through their Baptist/Evangelical framework.
This is all very important to bring up because Ronald Numbers’ view of the history of creationism is a very prevalent one in current culture and it is told by people who either fallaciously aim to discredit the movement as a prophetic fad or seek to over emphasize credit to Price, likewise to dismiss the important work of early creationist field geologists. Both of which count as genetic fallacies, of which we will cover shortly.
So, then, why does Rauser, himself, open with this remark (of all remarks)?
His answer:
“It doesn’t make young earth creationism right or wrong—it doesn’t tell you anything per se about the science, but it does show you the social contingent historical origins of the young earth creationist movement. And for people who are taught, then, that young earth creationism just is the standard historical orthodox christian perspective to understand and see through the lenses of a historian just how contingent and limited the origins of this modern movement are, really helps to contextualize it and raise the level of prima facie skepticism that one should have about this movement.”
Rauser is being fair when he points out this cannot be evidence of the truth of young earth creationism. And, for a second, I just want you to pause on that.
He has realized that if he were to do so, it would be a genetic fallacy. That is, it would be a dismissal of the arguments and evidence of creationism, not on the basis of evidence, but on the basis of source or origin.
Unfortunately for Rauser, the point he ends up making is likewise… a genetic fallacy. To argue that a movement, especially and particularly of the movement of scientific inquiry, can be discredited because the scientists who penned it were unorthodox is to deny the entire enterprise of science altogether.
He argues fallaciously to what end?
In order to “raise the level of prima facie skepticism.” Prima facie is latin for “at first sight.” What Rauser is communicating to us is that we should make a prior commitment to the falsity of the creationist movement.
Based on what grounds?
On the fallacious grounds of a socially contingent historical analysis, that is moreover historiographically asymmetric and based on the presuppositions of a former seventh day agnostic critical scholar. This is essentially a non-attempt to engage with any evidence (apart from pseudo history). In the philosophy of science, all movements are socially contingent.
To his credit he mentions Bishop James Ussher, however methinks he doth protest too much.
“And just to be cautious here, I do clarify that this is modern. There have been young earth creationists throughout history. The most famous example is Arch Bishop James Ussher, a British theologian and Bishop who attempted to date the origins of the universe to 4004 BC, writing in the seventeenth century. But his views aren’t the same as the modern young earth creationist movement that really traces to this influx of seventh day adventist prophetic theology into modern fundamentalism.”
Well, I’ve got exciting news, Rauser! Modern creationists don’t hold to Price’s view either. In fact, modern flood geology is based on models of catastrophic plate tectonics (CPT) which were exposited by Dr. John Baumgardner in the 90s. The model has been refined since then, but it is the model of neither Price nor Morris and Whitcomb.
This is what’s often called, in philosophy, a symmetry-breaker. You see, Rauser wanted so badly to articulate that early creationists, that are not Adventists, don’t count because they have different models. But if that rule were applied evenly, the start of the modern creationist movement would be pushed to the late 90s! If Rauser defines a movement by its specific mechanics (e.g., Price’s specific model), then he cannot logically link Morris and Whitcomb to Price while simultaneously distancing Ussher from Morris.
Argument #2: Appeal To Experts
Rauser begins his next line of argument with a question:
“The first thing I want to ask whenever people come up with a minority view is: ‘what do the experts say on a particular issue?’ This is true across the board. We should be very careful about engaging in special pleading where we apply a different standard in one area than another just because that suits our bias.”
The first thing I would like to ask Rauser is: what is an expert?
To evaluate who the experts are and which experts to defer to, you already need independent critical judgment. Yet, to say that we should rely on experts is an explicitly uncritical statement.
Rauser warns against special pleading, yet his own methodology treats historical science as if it were identical to operational science. We defer to “experts” like surgeons or pilots because their expertise is constantly validated by immediate, repeatable results. If a surgeon is “irrational,” the patient dies; if a pilot is “irrational,” the plane crashes.
In contrast, “experts” in historical geology or evolutionary biology are constructing narratives about the unobservable past. There is no immediate “feedback loop” from reality to verify their conclusions. By demanding the same level of uncritical deference for historical narrative as we give to operational technology, Rauser is the one engaging in a form of special pleading.
This is not to say Geologists don’t make predictions about, say, where to find oil, what rock strata will look like in unexplored regions, which fossils should exist in which layers… and those predictions get tested. But these are distinct from the narrative they tell about the data. The framework is what is in question in the origins debate, not the facts on the ground.
To make Rauser’s argument clear, we can formulate it in a syllogism:
Premise 1: Most minority views are wrong.
Premise 2: Creationism is a minority view.
Conclusion: Therefore, it is rational to assume Creationism is wrong.
While, you might suppose premise one to be statistically probable generally, the problem is that it’s an extremely weak inference that does almost no epistemic work, especially when the minority view comes with substantive arguments that need engaging on their merits.
It only takes a few history books to see that in every case, the maverick was right and the credentialed majority was wrong. Wegener had his continental drift theory rejected for decades by the geological establishment despite compelling evidence, Galileo was faced against ecclesiastical and academic authority simultaneously, Fleming was largely ignored for over a decade after discovering penicillin, and J Harlen Bretz proposed a massive catastrophic flood event which was ridiculed by the geological establishment for roughly 40 years. Other examples which we more readily accepted, but still independent thinkers are Copernicus, Bacon, Newton, Einstein, Pasteur, McClintock, Marshall and Warren with H. pylori.
That’s not to mention the founders of the mainstream paradigm: Hutton, Lyell, Darwin, Wallace, and Mendel. Hutton and Lyell had to fight tooth and nail against flood geology in intense philosophical debate. Darwin and Wallace spent decades contesting the theory of natural selection. Mendel was entirely ignored for 35 years and only rediscovered posthumously. Yet, these are their icons. This is literally historical amnesia. How can Rauser seriously be saying that we should just default to the consensus? How could any science be done that way?
This is not to say that creationism is right or that the minority is right. I only claim the epistemically humble position: the experts aren’t always right. However, can we embrace his less abrasive claims?
“Experts are not infallible, but all things being equal, you want to go with the experts… You don’t want to go, all things being equal, with the very significant minority.”
This is a particular and different claim. Notice that in the equation he’s drawn, there are no non-experts. But he argues, the majority of experts will be a better place to hang one’s hat—all things being equal.
All things being equal.
I want to highlight a couple angles on this qualifying phrase that Rauser uses. First, what does it mean for all else to be equal? How is that metric reached?
In order to evaluate equality, we need some metric to evaluate the models in question. This means evaluating their explanatory power, internal consistency, relation to the data, and presuppositions. Yet, by the time you’ve done this, you are no longer relying on the experts, you are doing the work of an expert.
Rauser is asking the layman to exercise a form of meta-expertise. He is suggesting that while a layman isn’t qualified to judge the geology, they are qualified to judge the geologists.
This is a precarious position. If a layman is not equipped to understand the nuances of Catastrophic Plate Tectonics (CPT) vs. Uniformitarianism, how are they equipped to judge the social and institutional pressures that produce a “majority”?
What’s more, in the origins debate, “all else” is never equal because the starting presuppositions are diametrically opposed. You can’t even get any kind of equality when the foundations of either edifice cannot be compared to begin with.
Argument #3: You Have To Teach!
He closes that section off with a criterion for engagement:
“Here’s a basic way to test your expertise: how prepared are you right now to give a one hour introductory lecture to any of these fields… geochemistry, or geochronology, or molecular biology?… The ability to give a one hour lecture is at least a minimal threshold to even have a further conversation.”
Rauser’s “one-hour lecture” rule is an elitist filter that ignores how human knowledge actually functions. You do not need a degree in geochemistry to identify a logical contradiction in a geochemist’s paper, nor do you need to be a molecular biologist to understand the statistical impossibility of certain evolutionary transitions.
Take the example of a court of law. In a court of law, we do not require jurors to be able to give a one-hour lecture on DNA sequencing or ballistics. We expect them to use their independent critical judgment to weigh the testimony of competing experts.
Furthermore, most experts are hyper-specialized. A molecular biologist might not be able to give a one-hour lecture on geochronology, yet Rauser would likely still accept their “expert” opinion on the age of the earth simply because they belong to the same “consensus club.”
Argument #4: You Have To Explain!
“If you are a young earth creationist and you’re dismissing 98-99% of experts, you then have to give an explanation for how 98-99% experts could be wrong about some significant issue like the age of the universe, the age of earth, and the origin of species upon the planet. And this is where we’re going to tend to come into accounts which are boarding in the dangerous area of conspiracy theories.”
Rauser says you “have to give an explanation” for how the experts could be wrong. The explanation is actually quite simple and historically grounded: Science is not a democracy. Truth is not determined by the number of PhDs who agree, but by the correspondence of a model to the physical data.
When the majority holds to a flawed paradigm, they will consistently interpret all new data to fit that paradigm (a process called “epicyclic adjustment”). It takes a maverick to step outside the circle and show that the data actually fits a different, more robust model—like Catastrophic Plate Tectonics.
By labeling this “conspiratorial,” Rauser is effectively saying that the only rational choice is to never challenge a majority. This is the very definition of historical amnesia.
“Maybe you’re influenced by Thomas Kuhn’s historical understanding of the progress of science and you say ‘all these evolutionists are just locked into a naturalistic paradigm and they can’t see all the evidence for young earth creationism.’ But what that effectively does is it’s going to breed skepticism about expertise generally which is probably going to spill into other areas… in favor of various conspiracy theories.”
Please, reader, take a big gulp of the irony here. There is enough to go around.
The skeptic is worried about skepticism. The very people who will argue that Christianity or theism are ridiculous. The very people who can hold much incredulity to the largest consensus belief in the world are now going to explain why skepticism is a bad methodology.
By warning against skepticism, Rauser is effectively discouraging the very “critical thinking” he claims to promote. To be “critically minded” is, by definition, to be skeptical of claims—especially those that demand uncritical deference.
If an expert cannot explain the data to a thinking layman without resorting to “trust me, I’m an expert,” then their expertise has become a form of sophistry.
Argument #5: The Harmful Belief
“All of this means that allowing young earth creationism to proliferate unchallenged among the evangelical and fundamentalist protestant Christian subculture does enormous damage to the integrity and the witness of Christianity in North America.”
This last point is supremely interesting. Does he think, first of all, that creationism has gone unchallenged in Western society? Even among evangelical and fundamentalist movements, there is a clear pressure to conform to the infallible doctrine of scientism.
Does he think the Christians will gain ground in culture, if we give up ground? Will we convert more to the truth, if we tell lies?
Let’s call out this appeal to the harm of young earth creationism for what it is—eurocentric scientific elitism. This argument only carries weight in the West, and it should really carry weight nowhere, because it is simply not an argument.
Final Thoughts:
Rauser’s case study is a masterclass in Scientism—the belief that the methods and conclusions of the natural sciences are the only source of genuine knowledge. His methodology requires the layman to be a passive consumer of institutional output rather than an active, critical thinker.
By deconstructing his arguments, we’ve shown that:
- His history is socially contingent and misses the broader tradition and trends.
- His “Expert Appeal” is circular and ignores the history of scientific revolutions.
- His “Lecture Test” is elitist gatekeeping which ignores how we evaluate data.
- His “Harm” argument prioritizes social comfort over consistency and truth.
To summarize, we should evaluate each model based on the evidence, parsimony, predictive success, presuppositions, coherence, consilience, etc—take your pick. We should not be evaluating the models on external factors such as perceived harm, individual comprehension, appeals to consensus, appeals to experts, and appeals to novelty or social contingency. These in the latter list do not help us in the project of “how to think.” And the project of “who to trust” has always been a very dangerous game.















